Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.456787 1.662719 1.887258 2.150263 2.449910 2.780722 3.173740
2025-01-26 1.195267 1.489065 1.838038 2.283139 2.835996 3.500519 4.360706
2025-02-02 1.057535 1.400105 1.831925 2.416284 3.186987 4.169700 5.519901
2025-02-09 0.949451 1.321235 1.813253 2.512165 3.480384 4.776105 6.645485
2025-02-16 0.849354 1.234180 1.765422 2.552505 3.690377 5.278376 7.668675
2025-02-23 0.744288 1.124235 1.668953 2.507031 3.765809 5.589801 8.441643
2025-03-02 0.664964 1.040615 1.598103 2.485917 3.866772 5.937527 9.289588
2025-03-09 0.606097 0.980093 1.553158 2.495382 4.008993 6.352098 10.268957
2025-03-16 0.555691 0.926578 1.512140 2.504120 4.146598 6.765921 11.278321
2025-03-23 0.515227 0.884333 1.483762 2.528272 4.307784 7.226344 12.399077
2025-03-30 0.465052 0.820446 1.413274 2.474303 4.331589 7.459860 13.155793
2025-04-06 0.420885 0.762240 1.346382 2.418906 4.345447 7.673779 13.891872
2025-04-13 0.377377 0.701709 1.271170 2.343958 4.321731 7.826963 14.547289
2025-04-20 0.371607 0.708961 1.316301 2.489459 4.707748 8.738273 16.663089
2025-04-27 0.365695 0.715128 1.359532 2.634615 5.105050 9.702333 18.963383
2025-05-04 0.354454 0.709858 1.380659 2.739158 5.433750 10.565146 21.146816
2025-05-11 0.336532 0.689671 1.371320 2.783142 5.647817 11.226099 22.992521
2025-05-18 0.309511 0.648616 1.317560 2.733560 5.670641 11.514826 24.115422
2025-05-25 0.287945 0.616636 1.278855 2.710539 5.744235 11.908506 25.485045
2025-06-01 0.271705 0.594212 1.257399 2.720859 5.886780 12.451830 27.212631
2025-06-08 0.256716 0.573040 1.236596 2.730386 6.027757 13.002086 29.001551
2025-06-15 0.244406 0.556556 1.224197 2.756719 6.206776 13.646252 31.050686
2025-06-22 0.225853 0.524430 1.175264 2.697875 6.192094 13.870144 32.180007